Liangshan Southern Red Agate Raw Material Supply Tightens, Market Prices Poised for Another Surge

Liangshan, Sichuan, October 26, 2023 – Recent reports from the primary mining areas of Liangshan Southern Red Agate in Sichuan indicate a significant decline in the extraction of high-quality raw materials. This development is not only sending ripples through the entire Southern Red Agate supply chain but also signals a profound shift in market dynamics, with expectations of further price increases steadily growing.

As a major source of Southern Red Agate in China and globally, the Liangshan region has long been renowned for its vibrant colors and warm, lustrous texture. However, according to industry insiders, since the third quarter of this year, the efficiency of extraction from several key mining sites has consistently decreased. The output of premium rough stones, particularly those with excellent appearance and suitable size, has plummeted. An anonymous mine owner stated, “Finding a truly superior piece of material now is more than twice as difficult as before. Many mines are nearing depletion, and the quality of newly discovered veins is significantly inferior.”

Supply-Side Pressure Evident, Market Reacts Swiftly

This tightening supply has quickly propagated to the downstream market. According to incomplete statistics, over the past month, the average transaction price for high-quality Southern Red Agate rough stones from the Liangshan region has increased by approximately 8%-12%, with some rare categories seeing surges exceeding 15%. Mr. Li, a veteran dealer at a well-known jade market in Beijing, told our reporter, “When we go to the production area to source goods now, not only are prices higher, but our choices are also fewer. Before, we could be selective; now, just getting good material is a win. Many customers are complaining that for the same budget, the quality they can purchase now is significantly worse than before.”

Expert Analysis: Dual Drivers of Resource Scarcity and Market Demand

Addressing the current market changes, Dr. Zhang Ming (pseudonym), a senior expert and geologist from the Gems & Jewelry Trade Association of China, stated in an interview with our newspaper, “Southern Red Agate, as a non-renewable resource, inherently possesses the scarcity of its high-quality veins. After years of intensive mining, some mineral deposits in the Liangshan region are nearing exhaustion. The current decline in the output of premium raw materials is an inevitable manifestation of resource depletion.”

Dr. Zhang further analyzed, “In addition to resource factors, sustained strong market demand is also a significant driver of price increases. In recent years, with the rise of 'Guochao' (China Chic) culture and increasing consumer enthusiasm for collecting and investing in natural gemstones, the audience for Southern Red Agate has continuously expanded. Especially in the high-end collector's market, the demand for exquisite Southern Red Agate has only grown. An imbalance between supply and demand naturally leads to price escalation.”

Market Outlook: Rational Investment and Sustainable Development

Looking ahead, the industry generally believes that the tight supply of high-quality raw materials from the Liangshan Southern Red Agate region will be difficult to alleviate in the short term, and prices still have room for further increases. However, Dr. Zhang Ming also cautioned investors and consumers to remain rational while chasing market trends. He advised, “Investors should focus on the quality, craftsmanship, and cultural connotations of Southern Red Agate, rather than blindly chasing high prices. At the same time, the industry should also consider how to promote the sustainable development of the Southern Red Agate industry, such as strengthening mineral resource exploration and protection, promoting optimization and treatment technologies, and enhancing product added value to address resource challenges.”

The changes in raw material supply from the Liangshan region will undoubtedly have a profound impact on the entire Southern Red Agate market. It not only tests the adaptability of industry practitioners but also prompts the entire industry to re-examine the relationship between resources, market, and sustainable development. In the coming period, the Southern Red Agate market may enter an era of high prices and high-value exquisite products, and enterprises with reserves of high-quality rough stones and superb processing techniques are more likely to stand out in the fierce market competition.