Myanmar Jadeite Rough Supply Continues to Tighten, High-End Market Prices Reach New Peaks

【Yangon/Beijing】 In March 2024, the global jadeite market once again focused on Myanmar. According to the latest market reports, due to the complex political and economic situation in Myanmar and the further tightening of mining policies, the supply of jadeite rough continues to be tense. Affected by this, the price of jadeite rough continued to climb this month, especially for high-quality ice-jade and glass-jade varieties, which saw particularly significant increases, while prices for mid-to-low-end varieties remained relatively stable.

Industry analysts point out that this price increase is not a short-term fluctuation but a concentrated manifestation of a long-term supply-demand imbalance. As the sole source of over 90% of the world's jadeite rough, any internal changes in Myanmar have an immediate impact on the international jadeite market. According to market monitoring data, over the past year, Myanmar's jadeite rough exports have decreased by approximately 15% year-on-year, while global demand for high-quality jadeite has shown steady growth, with strong purchasing power particularly from major consumer markets such as China and Southeast Asia.

"The scarcity of high-end jadeite rough is being amplified as never before," said Dr. Li Mingde, a renowned jewelry and jade appraisal expert and visiting professor at the Gemology College of China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), in an interview with our publication. "Top-tier jadeite such as ice-jade and glass-jade requires extremely stringent formation conditions, and their reserves are inherently very limited. Against the backdrop of continuously shrinking supply, price increases for these rare varieties are an inevitable trend. We have observed that the monthly increase for some top-tier ice-jade rough has even exceeded 10%, which is relatively rare in the past."

In contrast to the heated high-end market, price fluctuations for mid-to-low-end jadeite rough have been relatively small. This is mainly because the stock of mid-to-low-end rough is relatively larger, and market demand for these products is also more elastic. Nevertheless, Dr. Li Mingde also warned that in the long run, with the overall reduction in raw material supply, even mid-to-low-end jadeite may face upward price pressure.

Market data further confirms this trend. According to incomplete statistics, in the first quarter of this year, the price index of top-tier jadeite finished products in major jadeite trading markets in mainland China rose by approximately 8% compared to the same period last year, while the price index of ordinary jadeite jewelry only increased by about 2%. This indicates that consumers and investors' pursuit of scarce resources is accelerating the revaluation of high-end jadeite.

Looking ahead, the tight supply situation in the jadeite market is expected to continue. The Myanmar government's increasingly strict regulation of mineral resource extraction, coupled with the complex security situation in some mining areas, will further restrict raw material output. At the same time, consumption upgrades brought about by global economic recovery, and the unique value of jadeite as an investment and collectible, will continue to support demand in the high-end market. Experts advise that for investors, attention should be paid to the quality, translucency, color, and craftsmanship of jadeite, choosing fine pieces with scarcity and cultural value for collection. For consumers, it is necessary to be wary of market speculation, consume rationally, and avoid blindly chasing high prices.

In summary, the jadeite market in March 2024, with its unique charm and complexity, once again demonstrated its profound heritage and investment potential as the "King of Jade." Against the backdrop of tightening supply and robust demand, the value journey of high-end jadeite seems to have just begun.